Predicting the WFC games in the IFF app is one of the many ways to make the whole WFC experience more fun. Whether you are going for that #1 spot to win your own Unihoc stick or whether you’re in it to beat your friends, it adds a lot of excitement to watching a floorball game.
And if you are anything like me, every year the result is kinda disappointing. Perhaps you missed some games, filled in wrong numbers, made some last-minute changes that you regret (been there) but you never reach a high enough spot. And every year you promise yourself next year you will do better. And this keeps happening, year after year.
Until now. With my help, you will beat all of your friends because I have been looking at historical (H2H) data and past results to make a prediction for each matchup. Every day you will find a prediction of the day that follows where I give a prediction of how many times each team will score and the predicted goal gap.
Because this costs a lot of time and we REALLY need your support we give the first two predictions as a gift. The other predictions are for our Premium members who make FloorballToday possible. If you love floorball and our content, please consider donating a small monthly amount which helps us tremendously.
Finland vs Poland
Finland meets Poland in the first round. Historically, Poland has been able to play reasonably well against Finland compared to other TOP4 countries. If you ignore the stats it’s easy to think Finland will easily walk over Poland but it’s unlikely Finland will score many goals. Looking at the previous head-to-head (H2H) matches we can see that Poland has improved their performance over the years against Finland. Finland won all of the games:
2011: 13-2
2013: 10-1
2013: 9-2
2015: 5-2
2017: 4-0
Important to note is that it’s fairly unlikely that Poland will score more than two goals against Finland. A safe bet would be 1-2 goals for Poland, and something between 4-8 goals for Finland. An expected goal gap is somewhere between 3 and 5.
Japan vs Denmark
The good news is that these teams have met in the previous reinstallments of the Women WFC with Denmark the winner in all of them. That means we have some data to base our decisions on:
2011: 7-2
2013: 11-2
2015: 5-3
2017: 11-3
Floorball scores are relatively hard to predict and these results show why. Based on the information we can expect 2-3 goals for Japan but Denmark’s amount of goals is harder to predict. We would say that 7-11 goals for Denmark is a solid estimate with a goal gap between 6-8.
Switzerland vs Germany
[ppp_non_patron_only]…
We reserved the rest of this article for those who support us monthly with a small donation. Will you be the next FloorballToday patron on Patreon? Join the community now! Click here for all the info.
[/ppp_non_patron_only][ppp_patron_only level=”6″ silent=”no”]
Unfortunately, we expect this game to be quite one-sided as Switzerland has a tremendous record against Germany. In the last H2H matches it is Switzerland that won with an accumulated score of 31-0:
2013: 8-0
2017: 9-0
2017: 14-0
Ouch. It will be a tough game for Germany, even more since Switzerland is the host. Perhaps the electric atmosphere will give the guests more energy but it should be a walk in the park for Switzerland. We say 0-2 goals for Germany, 10-15 goals for Switzerland and a gap of anything between 8-13 is probably a safe bet.
Estonia vs Norway
Estonia meets Norway in a group C where many expect Norway and Denmark to move on to the play-offs. However, Estonia has all the attributes of being a dangerous outsider and they will definitely try to grab a game or two against these two favorites. That means that this game will be crucial.
Things get more interesting when you realize these two teams haven’t played each other in the past which means there is no historical data to play against. If we look at the data of Norway and the results of the past year we think it will be highly unlikely the team will score more than five times in this game so we will put between 3-5 goals for Norway. Speaking of Estonia, things are harder to predict as they almost exclusively play against clubs in their preparation, unlike Norway. Between 2-4 goals for Estonia would be a safe bet here but we wouldn’t be completely surprised if Estonia takes the game in the end. A goal gap of 1-2 seems safe as well.
Slovakia vs Sweden
Slovakia started WFC2017 in one of two lower groups. What a difference this is with this time where they face reigning world champions Sweden in the opening match. The teams met once before and this was during the WFC2015 in Tampere where Sweden won with 15-1. We expect 0-1 goal for Slovakia and anywhere between 13-17 goals for Sweden with a gap of 13-17 too.
Australia vs USA
Two English-speaking nations facing each other in what appears to be the easiest group of the tournament with no clear winner(s) at the start. Also, surprisingly no historical H2H data exists that can help us to gauge the strength of both teams. If we look at the past I see the USA as a favorite to win this game with near losses against stronger teams Estonia (7-8 ot.), Norway (4-5) and a recent walk-over against Canada. Australia, certainly not a weak team, has recent wins against Japan (5-4), New Zealand (7-0) and Singapore (4-3) which are arguably opponents of lesser strength.
As a crucial first game for both these teams, I expect USA to win but in floorball nothing is certain. Expect some goals as both teams, especially USA, have a fearsome offense. We think 5-8 goals for USA and 3-6 goals for Australia and a goal gap of 2-4.
[/ppp_patron_only]
No Comments
Leave a comment Cancel